John McDonnell’s tossing of Mao’s Little Red Book across the dispatch box to George Osborne will turn out to be one of those notable Parliamentary acts recorded in history. Indeed, the election (by a thumping majority) of Comrade Corbyn and the appointment of John McDonnell will mark the start of a period of plotting redolent of the intrigues during the parliament of James II. The knives are being sharpened.
What we are seeing is a coalescence of the centrist Europhile establishment.
As this organ has reported in previous articles, “the colleagues” the other EU member states – in reality Germany and France – have already decided what Mr Chameleon is going to get by way of concessions. They will be as the magician Paul Daniels would say, “Not a Lot!”
It certainly won’t satisfy many of Mr Chameleon’s Euroskeptic back-benchers. Mr Chameleon’s much touted “British Model” might not amount to much more than a promissory note, although the likelihood (assuming the requisite level of “common sense” in Berlin) is for an agreement not requiring treaty change along the lines of the Maastricht opt outs for Denmark following their referendum.
Alongside this we have to analyse the Parliamentary situation. By the normal attrition across the five year period, Mr Chameleon may more or less have lost any usable Parliamentary majority by the end of the summer of 2017. We could well see a repeat of the 1970-72 antics where erstwhile bitter opponents of the Conservatives conspired to keep them in office, to ensure an organised pro-EU Party Leader remained in power to ensure EEC accession, intentionally foregoing party political advantage to facilitate it.
Chairman Chuka’s calculations (and those of other Labour figures) will be running along these lines: Comrade Corbyn will probably be deposed at some point before May 2017.
In the event of Mr Chameleon winning the referendum, a number of Tory back-benchers will become unreliable. They may even defect to UKIP. In the event of Mr Chameleon loosing his majority they may well support him in office until 2020. In the event of Mr Chameleon loosing the referendum a number of Tory back-benchers will become unreliable. They may even defect to UKIP. In the event of Mr Chameleon loosing his majority they may well support him in office until 2020.
Because of a second referendum!
If the first referendum is won, Mr Chameleon will return to Brussels to begin negotiations for a deal covering Brexit. This of course will be a VERY BAD DEAL! This to be put to the British People in a second referendum. If they don’t vote for it then the UK will remain in the EU!
Dear Reader, surely you don’t think the EU is simply going to roll over and let Brexit happen?
You know what the EU attitude to unpleasant referendum results are!
Organise another so the voters can rectify their mistake!