• Brexit: Betting the farm.


    Above, His late Majesty, King Edward VIII.

    When he was the Prince of Wales, the heir to the throne got himself into a little difficulty. The prince would often indulge in gambling – which was then illegal. The radical press found out and there was some censorious publicity. HM Queen Victoria – who did not have a high opinion of her eldest son and heir – took him to task. The Prince remarked that he was a wealthy man and did not gamble amounts of money he could not comfortably afford to loose. He went on to suggest that were an ordinary man or ordinary means to gamble, such behaviour should rightly be condemned as this was threatening the security of the man’s wife and children due to the threat to his ability to put food on the table.

    When the previous Prime Minister David the Chameleon went up to Brussels and asked for concessions, this organ expected the EU to at least give him a little substantial morsel to avoid the humiliation of sending him away with nothing. Nothing of course was exactly what the unfortunate Chameleon received!

    In doing this, the EU took a gamble. The UK is a valued member of the EU, for notwithstanding the such thorns in the side as a certain Nigel Farrage, the UK’s vast contributions are appreciated and needed. Prudence should have caused the EU to offer something. But they gambled. And lost!

    One of the reasons why addictive gambling is such a terrible addiction is that the gambler reinforces his own behaviour. When faced with a loss, the gambler will often seek to regain that loss by gambling again.
    If you recognise yourself, please visit: https://www.gamblersanonymous.org.uk/. Help IS available. There is light at the end of the tunnel.
    The letter triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty will be delivered (by hand) to European Council president Donald Tusk today at 12.30.
    Be in no doubt. This is a day of monumental significance.
    No man can foretell the future. This organ has analysed the situation and has postulated outcomes. But until it happens, no one knows for sure.
    We now have indications of the EU’s response:

    They are clearly gambling on a general election returning a pro Remain government.
    GOTO: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/mar/29/first-eu-response-to-article-50-takes-tough-line-on-transitional-deal
    Clearly they will seek to avoid a hard Brexit, for their benefit if not ours!

    This transitional deal is clearly of a type to force a change of mind on the part of a UK government.

    Doubtless they will adopt a robust, pay up £60 billion in RAL payments and offer a very poor deal indeed. One that Madam May will be unable to present as anything other than utter failure.

    The EU want the UK to abandon Brexit and come back into the EU fold!

    This is because they know that most MPs (across the party spectrum) were “Remainers”.
    British Gazette comment: The EU have had months to work out a strategy. They have and Madam May appears to be snookered!
    The way out of course is called Flexcit!

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