• Brexit: A binary choice?

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    In his blog post today (http://eureferendum.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=86607), Dr. North speculates upon the speech Madame Mayhem is due to make in Florence of Friday 22nd September.

    Of course, to those conspiracy theorists who believe that the Earth will be destroyed the following day by a planet called Nibiru crashing into it or the day will herald the Second Coming of the Good Lord will regard the whole thing as being somewhat moot!

    For those such as Dr. North however – who believe that Florence will still exist on that Saturday and thus Comrade Corbyn and Sad Vince of that Cable will be able to make their criticisms of Madame’s speech – there is an apparent endless set of imponderables, that forces many to ask the question; “Just what the Hell is going on?”

    Dr. North and the British Gazette have attempted on repeated occasions to try and cast a light into the darkness. The BG has in the past suggested that logical analysis causes one to make one of two binary choices: Either Madame Mayhem and her colleagues are Fools (they genuinely believe that there are doable practical Brexit options other than Flexcit, aka “the Norway option” aka EFTA+EEA OR they are Frauds and are “up to something”.
    In our article of the 1st September (http://www.british-gazette.co.uk/2017/09/01/brexit-achieving-the-impossible/), we introduced a third possibility; that our leaders are gamblers.
    It is to an analysis of that possibility we return today:

    The analysis must take as fixed reference points three dates: Thursday 7th May 2015, Thursday 23rd June 2016 and Thursday 8th June 2017.

    On one of these three dates, things went wrong for the Tories. This “wrong ‘un” was of course what Ukippers refer to as “Independence Day” – that Glorious Day when the British People voted to free the formerly sovereign United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the overlordship of the European Union of the Cities and the Regions. For the majority of Ukippers, the prospect of a “no deal”, “walk away” Brexit holds no fears. For them it is an article of faith that the future outside the EU is a golden one. For them, they look back on that day thus:In total contrast, when the Chameleon received the results in the small hours of Midsummer’s Day 2016 there was a sense of utter rejection in his camp. Here was a man who had gambled. He had rolled the dice, and as dice do, they came up nought. But then the Chameleon is an old Etonian and of a social class with a record of wagering all on what may have appeared good odds. His successor, middle class Madame does not have the call of the wager in her veins. However, she herself was seduced by the siren calls of the polls and sought an convincing vanquishing of Comrade Corbyn. She too rolled the dice and again, the dice did not reward!

    Madame has found herself in a hole. That hole is deep and has been dug by such as Messrs Rees-Mogg and Redwood. It is of a Brexited Britain outside the Single Market. This is the most toxic of poison chalices. The poison wine smells sweet and fruity. If drunk, it’s bouquet kisses the tongue. But the sharp and tart tang of the poison will very quickly make itself known and when known, Madame will know, like Cleopatra on clasping the viper to her breast before her, that [political] death now stands before her like spectre garbed in the symbols of traffic chaos, market turmoil and riot.

    So, how will Madame avoid this fate?

    Clearly, a “no deal”, “walk away” Brexit cannot be allowed to come to pass. Yet a Brexit deal outside the single market will be worse than the living hell of “associate EU membership” leaving the EU but remaining in the EEA and Customs Union subject to the ECJ.

    Here we enter a world the dark mirror of a second referendum: Madame will have to rely on the opposition parties to save the day and yet to preserve Tory hopes at the next election “victory” (a vote to remain in the EU) will have to appear like “defeat” and the abyss (a vote to leave the EU and the Single Market) appear like paradise lost!

    Given the parliamentary arithmetic, as Brexit Day Friday 29th March 2019 approaches the Commons which has a majority of “Remain” MPs may well force a vote to include a Second Referendum. The choice will be to abort Brexit or to allow it to continue. Comrade Corbyn will be most keen to see that Brexit does not take place, for if it does, re-entry into the EU has to be accompanied by entry into the Eurozone and that for Comrade Corbyn spells an end to his tax and spend plans!

    To have the Labour, Lib-Dem and SNP force a Second Referendum on the Tories will mean that the Tories will be able to point to the glorious promised land of Brexit, now gone for ever, a beautiful Shangri-La that none will now experience.

    Since the People will have decided, “all will be well!”

    What evidence can the British Gazette present in support of this theory?

    For a start, the amateurish approach and unprepared nature of the British negotiation team. Then we have Mr Boris Johnson and the revival of the £350 million a week to the NHS: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/sep/16/may-too-weak-fire-johnson-say-furious-tories?utm_source=esp&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=GU+Today+main+NEW+H+categories&utm_term=243961&subid=15907465&CMP=EMCNEWEML6619I2

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