• From Hungary – with love!

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    Above, Sean Connery and Daniela Bianchi in the hills above Istanbul during the filming of the 1963 movie, “From Russia with Love”.

    For me, “From Russia with Love” was and is the best of all the 24 Bond movies made between 1962 and 2015 and almost certainly to include the upcoming movie, “No Time to Die” due to be released next year where Bond will bow out as “007” to be replaced by an altogether different character.

    The script was well written being fast paced but not missing out on essential detail. The plot was – unlike the 1979 movie, “Moonraker” – not too far off from being realistic and not delving into the realms of fantasy, thus affording the essential element of “believability” for a good thriller – with the technology involved again not pushing the bonds of credulity.

    Brexiteer and vlogger, Jeff Taylor is but one of many now speculating on possible outcomes of the Brexit chaos. Mr Taylor raises the interesting prospect of President Orban of Hungary having entered into a secret pact with the Buffoon to ensure Brexit at 11PM on Halloween by vetoing any request to extend A50 that the UK may issue! Below:That video was posted yesterday. Today, Mr Taylor has posted the folklowing video in which he speculates upon the possibility of the Buffoon being instructed to issue an A50 extension request by the Supreme Court. Herewith:British Gazette comment: Mr Taylor’s speculations above both hold logic. That of course does not mean they will happen! BUT: They present very credible scenarios. Furthermore, there is a logic that would link the two scenarios – THIS: Were the Buffoon instructed by the Supreme Court to submit the request, President Orban may choose to cite this as one the reasons for Hungary rejecting the request – that the request was issued subject to a court instruction and not one freely made by the UK government – with the request being clearly seen as contrary to the UK government’s wishes.

    Now IF President Orban was to do this there of course would be a huge row in the European Council.

    HOWEVER: Were such a scenario to come about, it would be a BIG mistake for Brexiteers to celebrate and look forward to a No deal Brexit. This is because the Remainers (in the Labour and the Tory parties) and Remainiacs in the Liberal-Democrat and nationalist parties would finding their Euro-lifeline of an A50 extension ruled out would only have one option left: To pass a “No Confidence Motion” in the Commons and to set up an “Emergency Government”. The Emergency Government would have three options:
    #1: Prepare for a No Deal Brexit.
    #2: Seek an emergency EU Council meeting to put forward a new A50 extension request.
    #3: Revoke A50.

    I think we could be looking a #3 with a General Election called immediately afterwards!

    Were a GE to happen in such circumstances the result will be interesting!

    Insofar as the %’age share of the popular vote is concerned, we can reasonably suggest that the Labour Party would do rather badly. For the Tories the result could be something of a curate’s egg: good in parts – but not others! Also, we can reasonably suggest that the Liberal Democrats would do rather well as well.

    However, with the First Past the Post system, it is not only the numbers of votes cast, it is where those votes are cast. The Liberal-Democrats draw their support across most constituencies. Labour have their core vote concentrated in certain areas and amongst certain communities. In the past this has thrown up democratic inconsistencies. If we discount the occurrence of electoral pacts, it is not impossible the parties could be ranked in inverse order insofar as share of popular vote and numbers of seats. The following results are possible:

    Ordinal ranking – Share of Popular Vote:
    1st Liberal Democrats
    2nd Conservatives
    3rd Labour

    Ordinal ranking – Numbers of seats won:
    1st Labour
    2nd Conservatives
    3rd Liberal Democrats

    Of course, the results above do not take into account the Brexit Party and UKIP. Both parties are likely to take votes from the Tories and Labour.

    Then we have the issue of possible electoral pacts.
    Conclusion: The situation is far too unstable to call.

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